World Cup 26Day 131/39 · Final

Bracket projection

Knockout slots fill in once group play wraps on June 27. Below is the Monte-Carlo projection of who advances from each group (top 2 + best 8 third-place finishers), based on current standings and Polymarket odds for remaining group matches.

Knockout fixtures

r32 South Africa v CanadaInglewoodr32 Brazil v JapanHoustonr32 Germany v ParaguayFoxboroughr32 Netherlands v MoroccoGuadaluper32 Ivory Coast v NorwayArlingtonr32 France v SwedenEast Rutherfordr32 Mexico v EcuadorMexico Cityr32 England v DR CongoAtlantar32 Belgium v SenegalSeattler32 United States v Bosnia and HerzegovinaSanta Clarar32 Spain v AustriaInglewoodr32 Portugal v CroatiaTorontor32 Switzerland v AlgeriaVancouverr32 Australia v EgyptArlingtonr32 Argentina v Cape VerdeMiami Gardensr32 Colombia v GhanaKansas City, Missourir16 Canada v MoroccoHoustonr16 Paraguay v FrancePhiladelphiar16 Brazil v NorwayEast Rutherfordr16 Mexico v EnglandMexico Cityr16 Portugal v SpainArlingtonr16 United States v BelgiumSeattler16 Argentina v EgyptAtlantar16 Switzerland v ColombiaVancouverqf France v MoroccoFoxboroughqf Spain v BelgiumInglewoodqf Norway v EnglandMiami Gardensqf Argentina v SwitzerlandKansas City, Missourisf France v SpainArlingtonsf England v ArgentinaAtlantafinal Spain v ArgentinaEast Rutherford

Projected advancement per group

Group A
Team1stTop 2Advance
Mexico100%100%100%
South Africa0%100%100%
South Korea0%0%0%
Czechia0%0%0%
Group B
Team1stTop 2Advance
Canada0%100%100%
Bosnia and Herzegovina0%0%100%
Switzerland100%100%100%
Qatar0%0%0%
Group C
Team1stTop 2Advance
Brazil100%100%100%
Morocco0%100%100%
Haiti0%0%0%
Scotland0%0%0%
Group D
Team1stTop 2Advance
United States100%100%100%
Paraguay0%0%100%
Australia0%100%100%
Türkiye0%0%0%
Group E
Team1stTop 2Advance
Germany100%100%100%
Ivory Coast0%100%100%
Ecuador0%0%100%
Curaçao0%0%0%
Group F
Team1stTop 2Advance
Netherlands100%100%100%
Japan0%100%100%
Sweden0%0%100%
Tunisia0%0%0%
Group G
Team1stTop 2Advance
Belgium100%100%100%
Egypt0%100%100%
Iran0%0%0%
New Zealand0%0%0%
Group H
Team1stTop 2Advance
Spain100%100%100%
Cape Verde0%100%100%
Saudi Arabia0%0%0%
Uruguay0%0%0%
Group I
Team1stTop 2Advance
France100%100%100%
Senegal0%0%100%
Norway0%100%100%
Iraq0%0%0%
Group J
Team1stTop 2Advance
Argentina100%100%100%
Algeria0%0%100%
Austria0%100%100%
Jordan0%0%0%
Group K
Team1stTop 2Advance
Portugal0%100%100%
DR Congo0%0%100%
Colombia100%100%100%
Uzbekistan0%0%0%
Group L
Team1stTop 2Advance
England100%100%100%
Croatia0%100%100%
Ghana0%0%100%
Panama0%0%0%