World Cup 26Day 70/39 · Final

Bracket projection

Knockout slots fill in once group play wraps on June 27. Below is the Monte-Carlo projection of who advances from each group (top 2 + best 8 third-place finishers), based on current standings and Polymarket odds for remaining group matches.

Projected advancement per group

Group A
Team1stTop 2Advance
Mexico25%50%50%
South Africa25%50%50%
South Korea25%50%50%
Czechia25%50%50%
Group B
Team1stTop 2Advance
Canada25%50%50%
Bosnia and Herzegovina25%50%50%
Qatar25%50%50%
Switzerland25%50%50%
Group C
Team1stTop 2Advance
Brazil25%50%50%
Morocco25%50%50%
Haiti25%50%50%
Scotland25%50%50%
Group D
Team1stTop 2Advance
United States25%50%50%
Paraguay25%50%50%
Australia25%50%50%
Türkiye25%50%50%
Group E
Team1stTop 2Advance
Germany25%50%50%
Curaçao25%50%50%
Ivory Coast25%50%50%
Ecuador25%50%50%
Group F
Team1stTop 2Advance
Netherlands25%50%50%
Japan25%50%50%
Sweden25%50%50%
Tunisia25%50%50%
Group G
Team1stTop 2Advance
Belgium25%50%50%
Egypt25%50%50%
Iran25%50%50%
New Zealand25%50%50%
Group H
Team1stTop 2Advance
Spain25%50%50%
Cape Verde25%50%50%
Saudi Arabia25%50%50%
Uruguay25%50%50%
Group I
Team1stTop 2Advance
France25%50%50%
Senegal25%50%50%
Iraq25%50%50%
Norway25%50%50%
Group J
Team1stTop 2Advance
Argentina25%50%50%
Algeria25%50%50%
Austria25%50%50%
Jordan25%50%50%
Group K
Team1stTop 2Advance
Portugal25%50%50%
DR Congo25%50%50%
Uzbekistan25%50%50%
Colombia25%50%50%
Group L
Team1stTop 2Advance
England25%50%50%
Croatia25%50%50%
Ghana25%50%50%
Panama25%50%50%